How the misconception of one man drives the world economy into the sand

in #tribes11 days ago

How the misconception of one man drives the world economy into the sand.jpg

Today, I saw an interview with the guy that I don't want to name but that everybody knows, talking about Tariffs... He said more or less the following thing:

Thanks to the Tariffs we will make so much money that we won't know how to use it...

What are tariffs ?

Tariffs is a very old tool to put taxes on an imported product. I believe that some forms of tariffs existed even in ancient Rome and during the middle ages. It was a way to tax merchants and commerce all through history. When entering the city walls, merchants had to pay a tax according to what they were carrying. In a time where there were no census and income tax was not really a thing, it was a good way to get income for nobles or cities.

Tariffs in our times

During the second part of the 20th century a lot of efforts were done to abolish tariffs and to create free commercial zones. A lot of measures were established in this way for the needs of globalisation and world trade.

However, tariffs still exist and the main purpose of these tariffs is to protect strategic sectors of an economy. In Switzerland for example, there are tariffs on imported agricultural goods. The reason for that makes sense because in mountainous Switzerland, farmers can't compete with the prices offered by farmers from flat landed countries like France. However, we need farmers to make sure that we have a certain level of self sufficiency and also to make sure that the landscape is looked after.

When there are tariffs on agricultural goods, on milk for example, the milk in Switzerland is actually more expensive than in the rest of Europe. We basically pay the price of milk that farmers are able to offer in Switzerland. In a way, we pay more than would be possible because of the tariffs. This is a political decision that we Swiss are willing to support because we know that we need to help our farmers.

Where tariffs don't make any sense

If you start to put tariffs on all the products that go over a border, this makes not much sense because most of the complicated production lines cross country borders several times before there is a finished product. Look at the Mexican – American border for example. There are auto factories on both sides of the border. There are thousands of pieces that go into a car and each time one of these parts cross the border, the tariff is added to it. This makes it much more expensive to build a car than for example a car that is build in Germany and the tariff is paid only once when it comes to the USA.

In a nutshell, the tariffs are undermining the companies that are in the USA and Mexico in defavor of all the other companies that work outside of these borders. These tariffs are not protecting the local companies, they are defavorising them and in the medium term this will lead to companies closing and people losing their jobs.

Tariffs are paid by the consumers

When I look at the quote above, the tariffs won't make the country rich because the tariffs are actually paid by the consumers through higher prices on goods and indirectly through the resulting inflation. If you add tariffs on most goods, the price of these goods will simply go up. Even if a product is built 100% in the country, the producer will see its international competition disappear from the market and he will increase his prices. All the goods will go up in price, however jobs will be lost because some companies won't be able to deal with the changed markets.

This is poison for the economy and I don't think that anybody will be richer because of it.

One guy doesn't get it and everybody is affected

Now instead of a good situation of economical growth, we have one guy that puts everything into peril because he doesn't get how markets work... Well I hope there are still some capable people around him that will make sure that a change of direction is taken early enough...


With @ph1102, I'm running the @liotes project.

Please consider supporting our Witness nodes:

Sort:  

Tariffs are normal tools of economic policy that have been used to protect national interests and as a tool of statecraft for 1000s of years. Old is not bad. There are more important things than cheaper trinkets.

The removal of widespread tariffs led to countries like the US (and Europe) exporting whole industries and masses of jobs to low wage countries.

While globalisation has led to cheaper consumer goods it has had these major negatives that outweigh this benefit:

  1. The US and Europe have been deindustrialised and have partly (US) or wholly (Europe) lost the ability to wage large scale industrial warfare. Once the USA was "the arsenel of The West", no longer. The US & Europe combined can't much even Russia's weapon's production, let alone China.

  2. It has impoverished the lower and middle classes (particularly men) who used to have well respected, satisfying and well paid jobs making things. Things cost less but most people have less money. Only the rich benefit from globalisation.

  3. It has removed an important tool of statecraft to reward allies and punish adversaries.

  4. It has allowed a globalist parasie class to take over countries and undermine democracy and freedom across The West.

  5. It has allowed China to develop into a strategic competitor to the USA.

Thanks a lot for your comment!

As you mention correctly, tariffs are a useful tool to protect certain strategic sectors in an economy. The dismantling of the tariffs was done over several decades to lead to the economical situation that we have now with worldwide supply chains.

To put limits to globalization is in my opinion not bad since it's true that it had a lot of undesirable effects on the western world. The problems I see are the following:

  • The introduction of Tariffs should be targeted at precise sectors that are of national interests and that don't add negative effects on the whole economy.
  • Appling tariffs on the most interwoven economies is pure poison for the companies involved. It will hit the economy first, the housing market second and finally the currency as well.
  • Appling Tariffs with the belief that it will make the country rich is equally an illusion. It might be true in the long term but how long would it take to make the transition? Will the country and the government outlast the transition or will there be an opposition in place that pushes the moves back? A billion dollar plant can't be built in a week. Companies need time to adapt and the incertitude will simply prevent companies from investing. Not all the companies have pockets deep enough to outlast such a change.

That orange mango is making me doubt myself and my past few years of steadily growing my portfolio. Should have followed Buffet's cue on hindsight instead of getting caught up in the exuberance of the post trump effect. 🤣

In hindsight we are always cleverer lol

The tariffs aren't good for anyone. I think its a lose-lose situation, but it has its uses. The companies will obviously pass the prices down to the consumer, but it does give local businesses a better chance at surviving. However, it also makes them less likely to create better projects. Only time will tell, but I don't like all the tariff wars.

I think that there will be some winners but much more losers. I also don't think that he actually knows what he is doing...

This post has been manually curated by @steemflow from Indiaunited community. Join us on our Discord Server.

Do you know that you can earn a passive income by delegating to @indiaunited. We share more than 100 % of the curation rewards with the delegators in the form of IUC tokens. HP delegators and IUC token holders also get upto 20% additional vote weight.

Here are some handy links for delegations: 100HP, 250HP, 500HP, 1000HP.

image.png

100% of the rewards from this comment goes to the curator for their manual curation efforts. Please encourage the curator @steemflow by upvoting this comment and support the community by voting the posts made by @indiaunited.

Thanks for the curation!

Tariffs are certainly not a tool to be used the way Trump uses them, even if he aims to grow the local economy in the US in the detriment of the global economy. They will most likely fail, the way they seem to be introduced.