Hive Barometer

in #tribes3 days ago

Hive Barometer.jpg

How do you feel about the future of Hive? In today's Liotes mission we would like to create a kind of barometer to feel how the community sees the future of hive. How does it work?

How to give points

  • If you feel that in one year, Hive will be exactly the same as it is now, give 50 points.
  • If you believe it will be slightly better, give 60 points.
  • If you believe it will be slightly worse, give 40 points.
  • You give 0 points if you believe that hive will stop existing in one year.
  • You give 100 points when you believe that in one year hive will be as important as BTC.

The answer will therefore be a number somewhere between 0 and 100. If you want to comment on your decision, that will be great. Since most will only give a number value, we will not try to answer all your comments for a change.

Please leave your answer as a comment below this post.

We might do a similar Mission in the future and see whether the number goes up or down...

The Liotes Mission

By taking part in the Liotes missions, you can win credits that will help you to increase your score and your title in the Liotes Ranking.

People who submit an answer will get 3 credits for the Liotes ranking. If you submit more than 1 answer, you will not get more credits.

We are very grateful if you enter the challenge within 24 hours after the post is published. We will try to count entries up to 36 hours after publication.

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To see Hive at the level of BTC in a year would be wonderful but I don't think it will happen.
But I love Hive and I am convinced that it will continue to evolve for the better and add new utilities especially when VSC implements smart contracts so my Hive barometer is 80%

I hope as well that VSC will have that positive effect on our ecosystem.

I think that by the end of the year, Hive will improve a little in terms of price. I give it 65 points!

A nice positive outlook!

I would like to give another answer but I think it will be a 40 although Liotes will be a 100 👍

Hey @yeckingo1 - if that happens, that might be a Len-for-Hive buying opportunity!
!BBH
!ALIVE

hehe, Liotes will definitely compete with BTC within a year ;-)

I'm going for 70 points. Because if 60 is believing it will be slightly better, I think hive has that +10 of managing to be slightly better, but I don't think there will be an explosion in value or anything yet.

If you believe it will be slightly better, give 60 points.

70 is very positive. It's nice that you see it like that.

What a great mission. I will give it 50 which is pretty good in today's climate. So many old alts are finished, and Hive at 5 is an old alt now, so we are doing good.

I like your analysis @tengolotodo - if Hive were a chess player playing as Black against a strong White player ("today's climate"), then getting a draw would be a good result!

!BBH
!ALIVE

You are right even 50 is pretty good with 80% (=my guess) of the tokens are slowly disappearing.

I give Hive 40. It has some staying power, but we don't know what the bear market will be like next year.

I know the reasons for your 40 and I agree with you in some respect but I would rather give it a 50 ;-)

Hi @mypathtofire - Interesting! Would you spare a moment to talk us through your bearish prediction? Is that an across-the-board bear or a Hive-specific bear you are anticipating?
Thanks!
!BBH
!ALIVE

If you believe in the 4 year cycle (I do), next year would be the offical bear market year for Bitcoin and other cryptos. Other cryptos are just a proxy of Bitcoin price.

Of course, some say the cycle is dead, the Fed hasn't started easing yet and supercycle etc.. Who knows what will happen. ;)

60

Maybe 40? Hive is a fast-moving currency and I think there will be periods during the year when everyone feels very good about it. The same applies to downward momentum; we may also see 40 in downward movements XD

I took 60, I hope I got you correctly :-)

I'm going to give it 60 points. I think we'll be slightly better off in a year, but we'll still continue to lag behind the overall altcoin market.

I wish I could find more confidence, but I can't...

!BBH
!HBIT

I wish I could find more confidence, but I can't...

60 is already quite good I believe.

A year is a long time. As far as I can see, it will probably reach around 35 if it doesn't grow and stays the same as it is now. There will be a point increase IF AND ONLY IF Hive grows with whatever it has so far.

!ALIVE
!PIZZA

You are among the more pesimistic here around or maybe your are more realistic ;-)

In Hive we trust so most preferable answer in my opinion will be 100! But I hope more real will be 70.
So let's check answers for this mission a year later 😉

Nice to see your positive outlook :-)

To be honest, hive will never reach the level of importance as bitcoin. But hive will surely grow in its own way. Optimism rules.
I will go with 65 :-)

!BBH
!ALIVE
!CTP

We all hope that you will be right ;-)

I think that this Hive Barometer is a great idea. And even more so if you repeat it in the future.

I'm very happy to be a complete Hive Sloth. Doing very little each day. But enjoying small returns from that very small effort. And I can't see anything that would change that in the coming year. So my starting point is in the middle.

However, I think that important initiatives from many projects will help Hive gain traction with smart contracts, easy to use exchange, better involvement with other social media, and lots of other ongoing initiatives. E.g. Liotes on YouTube! So I feel optimistic that things will improve.

Therefore, my Hive Barometer number is 60.

You are very close the the average score from the whole community:-)

At this point I would say 55, I believe there is more potential but we need to recruit and retain more new members.

That's the biggest challenge for Hive I believe.

40 points I guess, we keep losing up people and some of the existing ones keep pushing out people

I also see this as a negative point but hopefully it's compensated by new users in the long term.

Let's make an analysis of my thoughts. I don't think it will fail, so not 0 also I can't see as a success 100. We can also conclude as a success or failure 20 points above 0 and below 100. So for sure my barometer is around 20 and 80 lol.
problems: We don't have enough onboarding, DHF overspending worries, Many people sell the token as a shit. Many whales perform bad curation. Can't see any new game coming out from the blockchain. Altcoin hype fell a lot.
good things: There is a strong base of supporters with ties that get much better every day, even those who are pessimists with the current Hive moment. Hive is well consolidated among the medium-sized alt coins, decentralization is still a good thing to avoid rug pull, hype of VSC.
Despite the problems being big, my fear with the blockchain isn't bad, I can't see HBD depegging shortly, but I can't see the price of hive going up independently also.

So for sure I am at 50 for the next year.

That's a very interesting explanation of your score :-)

  1. I believe things will improve slightly. :)

I counted that as 60 then.

60

I am an optimist. I would like to be short-sighted and that future reality corresponds to the 💯. 😁

I think we would all be happy if that would happen :-)

Score: 70

I believe Hive will continue to grow due to increased user engagement and new features.

!ALIVE
!DIY

That's a very optimistic outlook thanks!

It costs the same to be optimistic as it does to be pessimistic, so 100.

You are right, let's all hodle Hive and get rich :-)

I have positive feelings. A lot of developments are in action. So, at least 60 points.

You are very close to the average appreciation of the community!

Hive won't be going away, so I'm not giving it a zero, and it won't be as important as BTC, so not 100. I'll give it a 60 because I believe (more like hope) it would fare better next year.😊

A nice positive outlook, I like that :-)

Interesting activity. I would say 55. We need more people in the chain and retain those whom are already in it in order for Hive to grow stronger.

If hive could get at least some new users it would be great.

I would like to give 60 points, but currently I see it as a 40 point scenario, we need some route adjustments in the hive, but it is something that depends on bigger people, I have faith that we will soon reach 60/70.

Sometimes we need to take a step back, to gain momentum and evolve!

!PIZZA
!BBH

I struggled a bit to understand what your final score was. I took 40 and hope I'm correct :-)

I set my barometer at "68."

If you look at this Hive chart https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/hive and set it to max you see that Hive hasn't dropped into single figures - the lowest I could find was back in April 2020 when it briefly dropped to about $0.103. Today it's around $0.255 and the lowest it's dropped in the last year is about $0.16. I think there is more upside than downside potential, and if Bitcoin goes on a charge Hive could well rise on the updraught.

!ALIVE
!BBH

That's the most precise score that we got :-)

To be honest I think it will be the same, so I give it 50. Which is not bad after all.

If we are still where we are now in 1 year, it's definitely not too bad.

I would have to say 60. It's not that bad, but I still think it has potential.

Nice positive outlook!

60 points. Until we can really see alt season start again (if ever), it will be hard for HIVE to really get that kind of traction.

Traction would come with more users or a new killer app....

Hmmm I think it depends how we define better or worse. Is it the number of users or the price of Hive for example. In any case, I would give it a 60. Gradual growth. :)

60 is very close to the average given by the community.

55 - probably about the same, slightly hopeful it will get better :D

I would sign for a 55 :-)

The future depends on what will be the next updates at Hive. If VSC brings the smart contract and the connectity to hive, great marketing brings more users I think it would be 75.

The success of VSC will definitely have a big impact on the evolution of hive.

Hard to say. Somewhere between 40 and 70, depending on what happens in-between.

Since I needed a number for each person I took 40+70 / 2 = 55. I hope that's ok :-)

Yeah, unless we have some real improvements (one year passes before you know it), "unchanged" sounds about right.

How nice it would be if HIVE would reach the same importance as BTC 🤩😎, but I don't think that will happen 😶. I also don't think that in a year things will change too much, so my score is 50.

That's quite a safe bet :-)

I always keep hoping that it will get better, but I remain conservative in my expectation. If it gets better I'll be very happy, if it gets worse it won't be such a big emotional blow XD

I want to believe that the story with Hive will go forward, so I give 60 points. With a note of long-term presence 🙂

PIZZA!

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