#ukUnmoderated tagAll postsTrendingHotNewPromotedPayoutsbelemo in #hive-148441 • 7 months agoBack to NottsLeeds was nice but now it is time to head back home. I had a wonderful time, just chilling with my friends and I'm happy I made the trip. Despite thebelemo in #hive-167922 • 7 months agoInsurance is fascinatingSecondary school education is the bare minimum you need to know or hear about insurance. However, even without education, you would know a thing or two, dependingbelemo in #hive-196233 • 10 months agoFor the backI've been having a recurring back pain for a while now. I do stretches to ease the pain but my hunch is that the problem is from the fact that I'belemo in #hive-196233 • 7 months agoLeeds feels different Travelling to Leeds is technically my first trip since we moved to Notbelemo in #hive-196233 • 6 months ago20 degrees hotThe human body is a very fascinating machine. When it comes to temperature, it is all relative and how you feel isn't an absolute. I went out fbelemo in #hive-196233 • 7 months agoAlmost got hit but really not really So, basically, this morning I rushed to get on a bus because I thought I was going to be late. However, on closer inspection, it turned out the rcandy49 in #ireland • 8 months agoAre opinion polls reliable?The Republic of Ireland has just had a referendum to amend their constitution. There were two amendments proposed. One was to change references to "marriage" and replace it with…candy49 in #uk • 4 months agoA connundrum from the General ElectionPart of the reason Labour won 411 seats in the general election despite getting only 33.7% of the vote, is that the right-wing vote was split, with many 2019 Tory voters…candy49 in #uk • 5 months agoDo people remember the Council Elections on 2nd May?When the results came in, Professor Rawlings caused huge controversy with his projected national vote : Labour 35% Tories 26% LibDems 16% Others (Independents, Greens, Reformcandy49 in #uk • 5 months agoHere is how voters have reacted to the debates and manifestosWe've now had the manifestos of all the parties standing in the election. We've also had one head-to-head debate between Rishi Sunak and Keir Starmer on ITV, an interview session…candy49 in #uk • 6 months agoYouGov's MRP poll for Birmingham looks wrongMRP stands for Multilevel Regression and Post-Stratification. What they do is first do a standard poll with a large sample - at least 10,000 people rather than 2,000. They ask…candy49 in #uk • 6 months agoSo the General Election campaigns have started...Rishi Sunak's surprise decision to call a general election campaign - and it really took everyone by surprise - was overshadowed by his announcement of it in the pouring rain…candy49 in #uk • 6 months agoWill Natalie Elphicke's defection to Labour hurt the Labour party?Some described Natalie Elphicke's defection to Labour as the equivalent of a Corbynista like Zarah Sultana joining the Tories. In many ways it's worse. Whatever people think of…candy49 in #uk • 7 months agoOnly Savanta got the opinion polling for last Thursday's elections rightThe other pollsters missed quite badly. For example, here are the final opinion polls for the London Mayor elections, compared to the actual result: [source](candy49 in #uk • 7 months agoNicola Sturgeon's husband Peter Murrell is charged with embezzlementHe's been charged with embezzling SNP funds, while he was party leader. It's not yet clear how much Nicola Sturgeon knew and whether she'll be charged too. The big question is…candy49 in #uk • 7 months agoWhat do local council by-elections tell us about the upcoming general election?Unlike opinion polls, council by-elections show us what people who actually show up to vote are thinking. There have been 168 council by-elections since the Local Elections in…candy49 in #uk • 8 months agoReform surges to 15% in Yougov pollYouGov has been persistently showing low scores for Tories and high scores for Reform. This might be to do with sampling issues - instead of a random sample of people, they polll…candy49 in #uk • 8 months agoWhat really caused the Tory drubbing in 1997?There's been a lot of re-writing of history about the 1997 general election, mainly by people who were small children at the time, or who were born afterwards. They look at the…candy49 in #uk • 8 months agoWill there be an election in May?Rishi Sunak's Conservative Party has been working really hard to move the opinion polling dial. Since November 2023, National Insurance has been cut by 4% (at a total cost of…candy49 in #uk • 9 months agoThe surprising results of the Rochdale by-electionI don't mean the winner George Galloway, I mean the man who came second, independent candidate Dave Tully. Tully owns a car repair business in Rochdale, and only decided to…