candy49 in #uk • 14 hours agoThe UK now has a trade surplus with Japan thanks to servicesThe first post Brexit trade deal the UK made was with Japan. It was signed on 23rd October 2020 and came into effect in 2021. It eliminated many of the tariffs that had applied…candy49 in #uk • 8 days agoHow Britain got a better trade deal from Trump than the EUThe Brits got their timing right. They cut their deal at the moment Trump was at his most vulnerable. Here's the timeline: April 2nd: Trump announces his Liberation Day…candy49 in #uk • 10 days agoUK trade with Australia has jumped since the trade deal came into force in 2023The Australia-UK Free Trade Agreement, which was signed on 17th December 2021, came into force on 31st May 2023. The deal eliminated 99% of tariffs on both sides. 2024 was the…candy49 in #uk • 2 months agoLabour is heading into an employment crisisThe media has been focused on the UK unemployment rate rising to 4.6% from 4% at the general election in July 2024. But that is based on a survey and distorted by the…candy49 in #uk • 4 months agoHow will the council elections play out?In about six weeks, the UK goes to the polls for the May council elections. It'll be the first electoral feedback on Keir Starmer's Labour govt since they won power in the…candy49 in #uk • 7 months agoWill Keir Starmer survive as Prime Minister?When the general election campaign began in mid May 2024, Labour were polling at 46%. But when the votes were counted on 4th July, Labour got just 33.7% of the vote - the lowest…candy49 in #hive • 11 months agoUpdate on Hive-Engine Withdrawals problemSo - it is coming up to four days since I tried to make a withdrawal from Hive-Engine to Hive. I still haven't received my coins, and now the Hive-Engine withdrawal page shows…candy49 in #hive • 11 months agoWithdrawals from Hive Engine not workingSo, about 14 hours ago I sold some layer 2 coins for Hive, and initiated a withdrawal to Hive so I could transfer it to savings - and it never arrived. It's only a tiny tiny…candy49 in #politics • last yearHow did Kamala Harris secure support so fast?Ever since the disastrous debate at the end of June, President Biden was coming under huge pressure to drop out of November's presidential election. But the stubborn old man was…candy49 in #uk • last yearA connundrum from the General ElectionPart of the reason Labour won 411 seats in the general election despite getting only 33.7% of the vote, is that the right-wing vote was split, with many 2019 Tory voters…candy49 in #france • last yearWhat do the French elections mean?One of the most puzzling elections in the Western world are the elections for the National Assembly in France. They were called three years before they needed to be held and have…candy49 in #uk • last yearDo people remember the Council Elections on 2nd May?When the results came in, Professor Rawlings caused huge controversy with his projected national vote : Labour 35% Tories 26% LibDems 16% Others (Independents, Greens, Reformcandy49 in #uk • last yearHere is how voters have reacted to the debates and manifestosWe've now had the manifestos of all the parties standing in the election. We've also had one head-to-head debate between Rishi Sunak and Keir Starmer on ITV, an interview session…candy49 in #uk • last yearYouGov's MRP poll for Birmingham looks wrongMRP stands for Multilevel Regression and Post-Stratification. What they do is first do a standard poll with a large sample - at least 10,000 people rather than 2,000. They ask…candy49 in #uk • last yearSo the General Election campaigns have started...Rishi Sunak's surprise decision to call a general election campaign - and it really took everyone by surprise - was overshadowed by his announcement of it in the pouring rain…candy49 in #uk • last yearWill Natalie Elphicke's defection to Labour hurt the Labour party?Some described Natalie Elphicke's defection to Labour as the equivalent of a Corbynista like Zarah Sultana joining the Tories. In many ways it's worse. Whatever people think of…candy49 in #uk • last yearOnly Savanta got the opinion polling for last Thursday's elections rightThe other pollsters missed quite badly. For example, here are the final opinion polls for the London Mayor elections, compared to the actual result: [source](candy49 in #uk • last yearNicola Sturgeon's husband Peter Murrell is charged with embezzlementHe's been charged with embezzling SNP funds, while he was party leader. It's not yet clear how much Nicola Sturgeon knew and whether she'll be charged too. The big question is…candy49 in #uk • last yearWhat do local council by-elections tell us about the upcoming general election?Unlike opinion polls, council by-elections show us what people who actually show up to vote are thinking. There have been 168 council by-elections since the Local Elections in…candy49 in #uk • last yearReform surges to 15% in Yougov pollYouGov has been persistently showing low scores for Tories and high scores for Reform. This might be to do with sampling issues - instead of a random sample of people, they polll…
