BTC Analysis

in LeoFinance3 days ago

Today, the Bitcoin market confirms the “energy release” phase after days of stagnation.
Indicators agree: we’re seeing a clear shift toward a long direction, with volume, aggressiveness, and technical room for continuation — exactly what we predicted yesterday.

Macroeconomic Background
Yesterday’s announcements of negative GDP in the U.S. and a rise in inflation to 3.5% (Core PCE) caused confusion, but the crypto market seems to be absorbing the macro risk with a risk-on attitude.

Funding Rates

BTC OI-Weighted: -0.0006%

BTC Volume-Weighted: +0.0032%
There is generally positive funding across exchanges, especially on Binance and Bybit.
This shows that despite the correction of recent days, longs have not abandoned their positions. On the contrary, they are holding firm.

Open Interest (BTC Futures)
Total OI increase (24h): +4.32%

Gate.io: +12.36%

OKX: +7.33%

WhiteBIT: +6.46%

The sharp rise in OI wasn’t accompanied by a spike in funding, which indicates either:

new capital entering gradually

or a healthy buildup of positions without leverage bubbles

Liquidation Map

Current price: ~$97,142

To the downside: high liquidation volume below $95,000

To the upside: major liquidation targets between $97500-$98,000

The market seems to be “charging up” right between these levels, with a high probability of moving above $96,500 to trigger short squeezes.

Technical Picture

The price is breaking upward out of the recent accumulation. On the chart, we see:

Break of the local downtrend line

Candles with increasing volume

Retest of bullish structure with confirmation

If the price stays above ~$95,500 and confirms the breakout, the $96,500–$98,000 range becomes an active target.

Conclusion – What to Expect

The market is coming back to life. Longs are holding their ground, funding remains positive, OI is rising sharply, and liquidations are creating upward “magnets.”

If we see:

Continued OI increase above +5%

Funding stays positive without overheating

Break above $97,000

...then a short squeeze toward $98,000 is a likely scenario.

On the flip side, a drop below $95,000 with a spike in negative funding and OI would signal a reversal.

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Thank you.
I never expected to see such analysis of cryptocurrency options available on the market here on Hive. I rarely see posts regarding options, but now I have found a source. I look forward to the day that we can use the Binance exchange again here in the US.

Thanks mate . Yes if Binance becomes available again in the us with hive in it it would be great for hive

"Interesting analysis—do you think the current rise in open interest is sustainable, or could it lead to another correction soon?"

Yes I believe it is sustainable and for the prices to go higher it needs to be high

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TThe more the Fiat market keeps shrinking, the more opportunity for bitcoin. Investors are seeing it as a safe haven against fiat inflations

Indeed but the decline of the dollar this time hasn’t helped the crypto markets until now