Rising Hybrid Threats

in LeoFinance6 days ago

In the last weeks of September and early October 2025, Europe has witnessed a series of unexplained incidents involving unidentified drones that have paralyzed key airports and military bases, generating panic and urgent calls for increased air defense. These sightings, affecting at least ten countries from Lithuania to Romania, have been described by experts as possible acts of "hybrid warfare" orchestrated by Russia, amid tensions over the conflict in Ukraine.

The recent epicenter has been Germany. On October 3, Munich Airport, the second largest in the country, closed for a second consecutive night due to a swarm of drones spotted over its runways. Dozens of flights were canceled or diverted, impacting more than 6,500 passengers and causing millions in losses. German police, who did not find the drones, have requested powers to shoot them down, while the closure occurred on the eve of a national holiday. Similar incidents occurred at nearby military bases, according to reports from Der Spiegel.

In Belgium, on October 2, fifteen unidentified drones flew over the Elsenborn military base, near the German border, during surveillance equipment tests. This was the first case in the country since the start of the wave, raising continental security concerns. In Norway, three German citizens were arrested last month for a similar incident at Oslo Airport, which also suspended operations. Denmark, meanwhile, recorded sightings between September 22 and 28 over Copenhagen, prompting the government to raise its energy preparedness level to "orange" and citizens to stockpile emergency supplies, fearing a Russian escalation.

The wave is spreading to Poland, where authorities foiled a Russian plot using explosive-laden drones targeting key infrastructure in Central Europe. Volodymyr Zelensky, at the recent European Political Community Summit in Copenhagen, urged the construction of a pan-European "drone wall" to counter air violations. "If Russia attacks Poland or the Nordic skies, it could be repeated anywhere," the Ukrainian president warned.

These events expose vulnerabilities in European airspace: cheap, stealthy drones evade conventional radars, causing massive disruptions without direct damage. Countries like Sweden and Latvia report patterns of sustained surveillance over critical infrastructure. The European Union, under pressure, is accelerating regulations like Remote ID to track drones in real time, but the lack of coordination leaves the skies exposed.

On a continent already strained by the war in Ukraine, these incidents not only disrupt daily life but also raise questions about air sovereignty. Are they mere provocations or a prelude to something bigger? Europe must unify in defense, or risk an era of perpetual insecurity. Meanwhile, the skies remain guarded, but not entirely protected.

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