Optimus: Potential Timeline

in LeoFinance4 months ago

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When will the Tesla bot (called Optimus) roll out? It is already handling some tasks within Tesla factories, albeit likely very limited.

In this video I discuss a timeline based upon what we know and what Elon has put forth. My view is we can look for a ramp in production i 2027.


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I saw the news that Tesla can be using the bot next year. This is faster than I expected and is very exciting. While I expect it to be not as efficient early on, if they can continue this pace, I can see your target of 2027 to be very feasible. If they can get more advancements in the AI, then it could even come earlier.

Things are ramping up in the technology world. Meta's release of Llama3.1 caught most off guard. A ton of stuff happening.

Why do you think everyone is so hell-bent on developing the "humanoid" form robot? Do you think it is just the WOW factor? I mean it is cool, no doubt but it just does not seam very economical. I mean there is no reason Optimus needs a head. They could mount the cameras just about anywhere or everywhere and have a 360 degree view, for example.
Maybe once they get past the WOW they will get on to more purpose built robots?

Well not everyone is developing a humanoid. There are other robots being worked upon.

But the answer to your question is robots, especially if they are mobile, have to operate in a world that was developed for humans. Thus having the human structure is vital. We are bipedal beings that constructed a world around it. This is how the general purpose bots can fit in.

As for the head, there is a reason: humans. Having a bunch of machines running around without heads and a camera like you say would freak people out. So for comfort, that is place there although there isnt really much need.

Maybe once they get past the WOW they will get on to more purpose built robots?

I think you will find they have a purpose very soon. My guess is we see use cases rolling out in the next 12-18 months.

After a prototype was shown in 2022 the development of Optimus the tesla bot has come a very long way.