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RE: This Is How Wrong People Can Be About Technology

in LeoFinance10 months ago

I think scientists are the only ones that have a good track record of predicting the future, but even they are not right all the time. So I wouldn't really put too much weight on people's predictions, nor will I think less of them by being wrong. Moore's law has been correct for a long time, and we are seeing it being proven wrong. We are reaching technology that are beyond what geniuses of the past were able to take into account.

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Predicting the future is tough. It gets easier when understanding trends and how things converge, which was done here.

That said, I give some about 10 years where they could be accurate. With #technology, anything outside that is just darts at a dart board.