End of the season Glint spending and basic math - statistics and probabilities

in Splinterlandsyesterday

Motto: I find that the harder I work, the more luck I seem to have.
(Thomas Jefferson)

This was a good season with 327K Glint at the end of the season. So, let's buy stuff! I started with a Legendary, for luck. Regular, of course.


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Then all the 300 Minor chests from the first batch, with no Alchemy potions. Not profitable enough to use it on them. Got 15 Energy (if I win half of them, 8K Glint), 5 Epic cards worth 37K Glint, 2 Gold Common cards (another 7K Glint) and loads of Rare and Common cards.

Next, 100 Rare cards, with no Alchemy, again, not profitable. Out of 100 cards, 3 were Gold.

Next, a bit of a wild bet, 150 Major chests, for 150K. Will this make it worth the effort? I did got 2 Legendary, some Epics, 2 Common Gold, 35 Energy (making at least 17-20K Glint as I play) and many, many Common and rare cards. Not to count around 20K Merits, meaning 10 new Gladiator packs. Probably profitable enough, as I can count at least 160K Glint worth of cards without even counting the potions and the Rare/Common cards. With only 7K Glint left, I will spend the rest on Merits.

As a review, this is what I had before and after buying the cards.

Common Regular - before, 7 level 9 left to upgrade, and after, 2 cards maxed up, and only 5 level 9 left to upgrade, much closer to the task:

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Common Gold - before, 2 level 9, 5 level 8, 4 level 7 and one level 6, and after, same levels, with no change:

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Rare Regular - before, 8 level 7 and 4 level 6, and after, one max level 8, yay, and 11 level 7 to max up:

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Rare Gold - before, 2 level 5, 2 level 4, 2 level 3 and 5 level 2, and after, 2 of the level 2 cards upgraded to level 3:

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Epic Regular - before, 4 level 4 and 3 level 3, and after, same levels, with some cards close to upgrade. I may save 75K to buy 10 of them:

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Epic Gold - before, 1 level 3 and 3 level 2, and after, same, no new cards:

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Legendary Regular - before, 4 level 2 and 7 level 1, and after, the same, but I do have 2 of them one card away from level 3:

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Legendary Gold - before, only one level 2, and after, no new one:

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​In the end, I used all the merits to get some 24 Gladiator packs. What did I got? One Legendary, 9 Epic, 29 Rare, 2 Gold Common and the rest of it, just regular Common cards.

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And with this, the shopping spree is done.
See you again in two weeks!
George

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