I do think a big part of the problem in the US is the 2 party system. It SHOULD be about policy, but when there is only two parties that are diametrically opposed - it doesn't come down to policy or personally, it comes down to tradition.
Trump is interesting because he's motivated a ton of people who were never interested in politics - but he's also driven away a lot of people who had always voted Republican. Now so many people are torn because they feel like they'll betray their family tradition and community if they don't vote for him, but they don't like him.
In the US, people's politics are part of their identity which means they'll keep voting against their best interests (ie, Trumps tariffs would devastate many rural communities) - and so politicians don't need to look after their constituents because they'll get the votes anyway.
My prediction is:
- Harris wins Presidency
- Senate is either tied 50-50 or Republicans win 51-49
- Democrats win the House
It's not as close as the polls suggest, because polling more of an art than a science and the polls tried to accommodate for the "Trump effect" but he's not the novelty he was in 2016.